NorthEast United 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 19 Apr 2026

NorthEast United
0-1 HT 0-1
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
13%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.55
+28% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +71%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
223 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
11.1 Crosses 19.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.82 xG 1.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
220 Passes 378
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.09.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 HT 1-2 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
17.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
15.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
24.12.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.11.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL

NorthEast United 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NorthEast United
0-1
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.16 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 13
147 Passes 240
58% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan edged past NorthEast United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, NorthEast United had 43% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 57%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NorthEast United and 2.33 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

NorthEast United 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 12%, draw 22%, ATK Mohun Bagan 66%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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