Mito HollyHock 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 53%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.74/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.14
-9% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
12.0 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.28 xG 2.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
410 Passes 445
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
22.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.44 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
428 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock saw off Kashiwa Reysol 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 54% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 46%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Mito HollyHock 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 27%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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