Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.26
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.2 Crosses 17.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-5 HT 0-3 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.12.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
04.10.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
07.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
15.10.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-2
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.25 xG 1.12
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 185
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 25
37 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 64% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 36%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.67 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 50%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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