Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.41
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
13%
6.4
X/X
19%
3.79
2/1
11%
32.5
2/2
10%
5.14
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -9%
1.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.96
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.5 Crosses 19.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
04.10.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
07.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
15.10.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
11.10.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
16.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.46 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus edged past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 49% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 51%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 39%, draw 31%, Avispa Fukuoka 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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