Kashima Antlers 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.84
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
19%
4.01
X/2
7%
12.5
X/X
9%
6.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.75
2/2
11%
10.2
2/X
5%
18.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.69/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.69
-1% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
482 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.5 Crosses 17.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.10 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 HT 3-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.07.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
2-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.95 xG 0.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
436 Passes 133
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
14 Box Touches 3
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 70% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 30%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.95 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashima Antlers 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 58%, draw 20%, Yokohama F. Marinos 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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