Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos
3-1 HT 3-1
Kashima Antlers
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
6%
5.96
X/2
19%
6.04
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.71
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.15
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.8 Crosses 17.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.12
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
24.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.07.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.04.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-3 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.64 xG 1.12
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
139 Passes 492
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos beat Kashima Antlers 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 27% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 73%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.64 to 1.12 — on chances, Kashima Antlers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 32%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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