FC Tokyo 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.42
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
13%
7.96
X/2
19%
4.44
X/X
9%
4.54
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.62
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.30/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.92
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
16.6 Crosses 25.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
272 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
05.06.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
02.03.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
28.10.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
22.04.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-3
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.30 xG 2.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
420 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 59% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 41%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.30 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Tokyo and 2.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

FC Tokyo 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 31%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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