Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.17
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
6.78
X/2
12%
4.89
X/X
16%
4.28
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.13
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.12
+24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.9 Crosses 20.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
354 Passes 497
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.03.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
24.09.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.04.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.11.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.07.2020 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.31 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
211 Passes 288
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Vissel Kobe 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 44% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 56%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.31 to 2.04 — on chances, Vissel Kobe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe?

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 31%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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