Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.6
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.94
X/2
10%
6.12
X/X
13%
3.63
2/1
12%
35.0
2/2
14%
5.01
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.48
+11% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.4 Crosses 18.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
338 Passes 259
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
29.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 0-2 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
07.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
28.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
21.04.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
11.11.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.39 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 56% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.39 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.67 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?

Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 41%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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