Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
2-0
HT 1-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
3-1
HT 1-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
1-1
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
1-2
HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Fagiano Okayama 2-2 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Fagiano Okayama and Machida Zelvia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 43% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 57%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.67 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia?
Fagiano Okayama 2-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 29%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.