Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
2-2
HT 1-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
1-2
HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP
Albirex Niigata 2-1 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata edged past Shonan Bellmare 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Albirex Niigata as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Albirex Niigata had 48% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 52%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.02 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Albirex Niigata's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.50 for Shonan Bellmare.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Albirex Niigata 2-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 42%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.