Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v FC Tokyo — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
1-2
HT 1-2
FC Tokyo
JAP
1-2
HT 1-0
FC Tokyo
JAP
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tokyo — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past FC Tokyo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 46% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 54%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.12 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sanfrecce Hiroshima's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.33 for FC Tokyo.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.