Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagan Tosu v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals
Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-6
HT 0-2
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-5
HT 1-3
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
3-0
HT 2-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-1
HT 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
1-1
HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics
Shonan Bellmare edged past Sagan Tosu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shonan Bellmare as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Sagan Tosu had 55% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 45%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.22 to 2.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagan Tosu and 2.00 for Shonan Bellmare.
What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?
Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 27%, draw 27%, Shonan Bellmare 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.