Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shimizu S-Pulse v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
0-0
HT 0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP2
Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics
Fagiano Okayama squeezed past Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 61% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 39%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.28 to 2.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.40 for Fagiano Okayama.
What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 40%, draw 27%, Fagiano Okayama 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 went the other way.