Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.73
X/2
12%
5.26
X/X
9%
3.7
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.83
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 40%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.39/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.24
+55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.5 Crosses 17.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
28.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
29.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
26.02.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.59 xG 1.73
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
210 Passes 404
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S-Pulse shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 38% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 62%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.25 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fagiano Okayama 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 40%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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