Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2025

Nagoya Grampus
1-2 HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.9
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
11%
6.42
X/2
9%
4.81
X/X
16%
3.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.46
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.32/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.70
+28% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.3 Crosses 21.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
02.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.31 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
256 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia nicked a narrow win over Nagoya Grampus 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Machida Zelvia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 49% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 51%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.31 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.00 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 32%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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