Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Mar 2025

Tokyo Verdy
0-1 HT 0-0
Gamba Osaka
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.8
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
14%
7.57
X/X
12%
3.69
2/1
4%
31.5
2/2
11%
6.72
2/X
4%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokyo Verdy v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.59/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
+32% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.2 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.82 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
379 Passes 397
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
15.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
02.07.2005 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.81 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 14
312 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka nicked a narrow win over Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tokyo Verdy at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 50% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 50%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.81 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.67 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 41%, draw 28%, Gamba Osaka 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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