Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.30
-31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
16.1 Crosses 12.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
2.31 xG 0.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
445 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol cruised past Mito HollyHock 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 52% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 48%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.31 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock?

Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 57%, draw 22%, Mito HollyHock 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5
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