Kashima Antlers 2-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.31
-1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.5 Crosses 19.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
4W-0D-0L
AWAY JEF United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
23.12.2012 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
24.10.2009 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-0 HT 2-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
02.05.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.08.2007 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-1 HT 2-1 JEF United JEF United JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
2-1
AWAY JEF United
1.55 xG 0.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
576 Passes 261
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past JEF United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 66% of the ball to JEF United's 34%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.55 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.25 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs JEF United?

Kashima Antlers 2-1 JEF United in the Japan - J1 League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 62%, draw 21%, JEF United 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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