Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shimizu S-Pulse v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JLK
2-2
HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics
Shimizu S-Pulse saw off Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 45% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 55%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.38 to 2.23 — on chances, Sanfrecce Hiroshima could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 27%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.