Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Feb 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1 HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.82
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
14%
7.3
X/2
18%
4.57
X/X
11%
4.17
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.83
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shimizu S-Pulse v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.17/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.99
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.9 Crosses 21.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
363 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
29.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.03.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
20.11.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
28.04.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.83 xG 0.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 459
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 40% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 60%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.83 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 31%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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