Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.66
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
8%
8.17
X/2
16%
4.35
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.52
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
0.89/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.08
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.9 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.36 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 480
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JPK
29.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.75 xG 0.59
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
306 Passes 529
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale squeezed past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 38% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 62%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.75 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 3.17 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 24%, draw 26%, Kawasaki Frontale 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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