Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.94
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.04
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
12%
14.4
X/1
17%
5.33
X/2
11%
5.36
X/X
10%
3.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.08
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 38%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.28
+56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.0 Crosses 15.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.62 xG 0.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
260 Passes 414
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama saw off Gamba Osaka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 41% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 59%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.62 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 38%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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