Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.34/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.7 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
13.09.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
11.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-4 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
23.09.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
10.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.75 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
355 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 50% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 50%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 35%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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