Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 6 Aug 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0 HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅06/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - İmparatorluk Cup – 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 25% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.3
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
22%
4.19
X/2
11%
8.83
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.5
2/2
6%
7.09
2/X
6%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.53
-39% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
499 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
470 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.09.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
29.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.03.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
20.11.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima swept aside Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 51% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 49%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-Pulse 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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