Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JPK
15.07.2015 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
14.03.2015 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP
11.09.2011 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP
27.07.2011 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
06.07.2011 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-2
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Montedio Yamagata 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Urawa Red Diamonds made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 47% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 53%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.67 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 33%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
6 Aug 2025
12:30 FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
12:30 Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
13:00 Sagamihara vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
13:00 Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →