Kashima Antlers 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.92
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
20%
4.37
X/2
9%
7.13
X/X
9%
3.81
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
6.15
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.7
Value flag · 2/X at 15.7 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.28/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.22
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.10.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
05.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
3-2
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers edged past Avispa Fukuoka 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 64% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 36%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.50 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashima Antlers 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 47%, draw 26%, Avispa Fukuoka 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JPK More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
6 Aug 2025
12:30 FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
12:30 Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
13:00 Sagamihara vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →