Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.89
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.66
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.34
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
0.94/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.18
-27% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.5 Crosses 18.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.35 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
30.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
19.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
05.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
12.03.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.31 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 360
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 43% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 57%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.31 to 1.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kashima Antlers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.33 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 36%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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