Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.32
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.56
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
12%
3.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.97
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.23/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-11% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
15.5 Crosses 24.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
14.07.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 48% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 52%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 40%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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