Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
9%
6.68
X/X
8%
4.34
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
5.06
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.5 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.01 xG 0.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-3 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK
06.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
14.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.99 xG 2.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
502 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Gamba Osaka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 60% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.99 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.50 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 39%, draw 29%, Gamba Osaka 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
6 May 2025
00:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
10:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
10:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama FC Analysis →