Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.52
X/2
15%
7.24
X/X
16%
3.99
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
6.04
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.07
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.4 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.10.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
21.03.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
31.10.2020 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
05.09.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.23 xG 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
474 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol nicked a narrow win over Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 59% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 41%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.23 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 41%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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