Gamba Osaka 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.43
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
16%
6.18
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.4
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.64/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.26
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.9 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 446
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-3 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK
06.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
14.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
02.07.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
0-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.89 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
431 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Gamba Osaka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Urawa Red Diamonds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 60% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gamba Osaka.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.83 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Gamba Osaka 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 39%, draw 28%, Urawa Red Diamonds 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gamba Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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