Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Sep 2024

Kashiwa Reysol
0-2 HT 0-2
Jubilo Iwata
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kashiwa Reysol vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
8%
8.15
2/X
9%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.53/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.86
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.1 Crosses 19.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Kashiwa Reysol vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
03.09.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.04.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
19.08.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.05.2018 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.11.2017 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-2
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.66 xG 1.26
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
422 Passes 146
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 11
37 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata saw off Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 68% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 32%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.66 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Jubilo Iwata?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 52%, draw 26%, Jubilo Iwata 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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