FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tokyo
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
FC Tokyo
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
JLK
FC Tokyo 4-1 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tokyo ran out comfortable winners over Nagoya Grampus 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Tokyo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Tokyo had 54% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.71 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for Nagoya Grampus.
What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
FC Tokyo 4-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 32%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 39%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.