Kashima Antlers 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.6
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.36
X/2
18%
4.91
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.19
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -16%
1.22/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.89
+24% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.1 Crosses 21.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-3 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
08.07.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
06.08.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.05.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.11.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-4 HT 1-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
2-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.23 xG 2.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
405 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Sanfrecce Hiroshima shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 59% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 41%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.23 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.67 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kashima Antlers 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 31%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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