Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.39
X/2
11%
7.83
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
9%
24.8
2/2
9%
6.19
2/X
10%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 28%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
221 Passes 253
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
30.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-3 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-1 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
11.04.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
14.10.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
1-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia edged past Kyoto Sanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 58% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 42%, shots finished 23-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.83 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga?

Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 49%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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