Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Kyoto Sanga — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-1
Kyoto Sanga
JAP2
3-0
HT 1-0
Kyoto Sanga
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Machida Zelvia 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Actual Match Statistics
Kyoto Sanga squeezed past Machida Zelvia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 48% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Machida Zelvia.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.67 for Kyoto Sanga.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga?
Machida Zelvia 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kyoto Sanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 42%, draw 30%, Kyoto Sanga 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.