Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 May 2025

Shonan Bellmare
0-1 HT 0-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅07/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.01
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
10%
7.28
X/2
22%
4.5
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.89
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.14/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.92
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.0 Crosses 23.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.58 xG 2.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
05.08.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
27.05.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
10.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.04.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.46 xG 0.87
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
476 Passes 231
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 63% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 37%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.46 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 30%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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