Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
14%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.25
1/2 EV+
8%
23.15
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
5%
9.6
X/2
18%
4.12
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.2
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.09/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.96
-23% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 84%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
19.1 Crosses 23.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.91 xG 1.97
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
05.08.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
27.05.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
10.07.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.04.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.11.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 40% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 60%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 0.83 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 22%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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