Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
23%
4.33
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
8%
4.92
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.93
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.05
Value flag · 2/X at 14.05 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.67/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.59
-10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.7 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
266 Passes 484
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
27.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
30.07.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-2 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.04.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.08.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-2
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo got the better of Nagoya Grampus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 57% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 43%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.17 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Consadole Sapporo?

Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 50%, draw 25%, Consadole Sapporo 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ BTTS Yes
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