Consadole Sapporo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

Consadole Sapporo
1-2 HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.82
X/2
11%
6.24
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.55/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.19
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.3 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1

Consadole Sapporo vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
460 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
27.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
30.07.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-2 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.04.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.08.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.03.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP

Consadole Sapporo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.65 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
535 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus nicked a narrow win over Consadole Sapporo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Consadole Sapporo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 61% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 39%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.65 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Consadole Sapporo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 44%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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