Nardo 5-1 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+5.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.9pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.96/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aalesund II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Aalesund II Aalesund II 4-1 HT 3-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
29.04.2025 Nardo Nardo 2-3 HT 1-1 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nardo
5-1
AWAY Aalesund II
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo ran out comfortable winners over Aalesund II 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Nardo had 46% of the ball to Aalesund II's 54%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aalesund II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nardo and 3.50 for Aalesund II.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Aalesund II?

Nardo 5-1 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nardo 61%, draw 18%, Aalesund II 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
19 Apr 2026
14:30 Stromsgodset II vs Bossekop Analysis →
15:30 Stabaek II vs Akra Analysis →
16:00 Sandefjord II vs Lillehammer Analysis →
17:00 Herd vs Rosenborg II Analysis →
17:00 Skedsmo vs Harstad Analysis →