Start 1-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 19 Apr 2026

Start
1-1 HT 1-0
Molde
📅19/04/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Start vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.15
Over
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.05
2-3
38%
1.82
4-5
26%
2.91
6+
10%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.26
1/2
8%
21.8
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
8%
7.62
X/2
19%
4.81
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
21%
2.58
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Start v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -33%
1.38/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.38
-3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
21.1 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Start vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Molde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.60 xG 2.24
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
210 Passes 429
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2020 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR
24.06.2020 Start Start 2-3 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
29.10.2018 Start Start 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
27.05.2018 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 1-1 Start Start NOR
17.07.2016 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-1 Start Start NOR
10.04.2016 Start Start 1-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR

Start 1-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Start
1-1
AWAY Molde
0.78 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
303 Passes 477
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Start vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start and Molde shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Start had 42% of the ball to Molde's 58%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.78 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Start and 2.83 for Molde.

What was the final score of Start vs Molde?

Start 1-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Start 26%, draw 26%, Molde 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ BTTS Yes
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