Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Tromsö
NOR
2-1
HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics
Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Tromsö made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 50% of the ball to Tromsö's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Tromsö.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 32%, draw 29%, Tromsö 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.