Tromsö 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.81
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
9%
12.2
X/X
10%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.85
2/2
10%
9.38
2/X
6%
17.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
2.01/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.91
-25% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.0 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
427 Passes 446
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
01.12.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-3 HT 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
26.08.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.06.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
23.10.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
4-0
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
3.12 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
480 Passes 419
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö cruised past Sarpsborg 08 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Tromsö had 53% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 47%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 3.12 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tromsö and 1.83 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08?

Tromsö 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 55%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
2 Nov 2025
16:30 Stromsgodset vs Viking Analysis →
19:00 Bryne vs Brann Analysis →
19:00 Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Analysis →
19:00 HamKam vs Sandefjord Analysis →
19:00 KFUM Oslo vs Haugesund Analysis →