Fredrikstad 3-1 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.2
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
21%
4.49
X/2
7%
9.16
X/X
11%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
8%
6.51
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
-33% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.3 Crosses 16.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
276 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
03.11.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
08.07.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.08.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
10.04.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.10.2016 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
3-1
AWAY Kristiansund BK
3.09 xG 2.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
542 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad saw off Kristiansund BK 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 66% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 34%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 3.09 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

Fredrikstad 3-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 58%, draw 22%, Kristiansund BK 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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