Kristiansund BK 0-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.74
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
13%
6.42
X/2
16%
4.98
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.22
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
+19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.7 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
366 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
08.07.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.08.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
10.04.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.10.2016 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
0-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.27 xG 1.10
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
391 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over Kristiansund BK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 60% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 40%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.27 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.17 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad?

Kristiansund BK 0-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 32%, draw 30%, Fredrikstad 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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