Fredrikstad 1-1 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Nov 2024

Fredrikstad
1-1 HT 1-0
Kristiansund BK
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
15%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.0
X/1
22%
3.88
X/2
9%
9.52
X/X
14%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
8%
7.72
2/X
7%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Kristiansund BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.59/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.63
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.9 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 2.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
208 Passes 447
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.07.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 2-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.08.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
10.04.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.10.2016 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
09.08.2015 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1

Fredrikstad 1-1 Kristiansund BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-1
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.35 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
406 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 58% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 42%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.35 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.00 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

Fredrikstad 1-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 53%, draw 26%, Kristiansund BK 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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