Molde 3-3 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Nov 2024

Molde
3-3 HT 2-1
Bodo/Glimt
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.49
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.81
X/2
16%
5.86
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.53
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · X/1 at 5.81 — our 19% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.54/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.27
+42% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
17.8 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 2.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 566
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
25.03.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-5 Molde Molde HAZ
09.12.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOK
08.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-3 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
02.07.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
03.09.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
POST-MATCH Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde and Bodo/Glimt couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Molde and 1.67 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Molde 3-3 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Molde 36%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5
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