Bodo/Glimt 3-5 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Molde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.55 xG 1.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
514 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOK
08.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-3 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
02.07.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
03.09.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
29.05.2022 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
01.05.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOK
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde beat Bodo/Glimt 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bodo/Glimt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 2.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Molde?

Bodo/Glimt 3-5 Molde in the Friendlies on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 42%, draw 29%, Molde 29%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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